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U.S. Defense Policy Primer
Part 3: Wars and Weapons of War
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The greatest future foreign threat to US security will come from:

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U.S. War Fighting Readiness
If you thought the U.S. Military's performance in the 1990-91 Persian Gulf War was impressive, consider this: Under current Defense Department policy, the U.S. Military maintains readiness to fight two wars -- considered "major regional wars" -- the size of the Gulf War simultaneously in vastly separated regions of the world. In addition, Pentagon planners strive for the capability to win such regional wars in as little half the seven months devoted to the Gulf War. This readiness is, of course, in addition to a readiness to go to combat in contingency and peacekeeping roles.

Conventional Weapons
Speaking of the Gulf War, those laser-guided and other "smart" weapons were amazing. Yet, the U.S. Fiscal Year 2001 defense budget allocates over $100 billion for research, development and procurement of even more advanced weapons systems. Critics of current U.S. defense policy argue that existing weapons systems are more than adequate to deal with potential threats for at least the next 15 years.

The National Missile Defense (NMD) System
As arguments over the benefits of a land-based versus sea-based system, versus the very need for any such system continue, DoD projects an initial, 20-interceptor missile defense system could be operational by 2005. Costs are expected to run about $2 billion per year through 2005 and about $5 billion per year through 2010, when up to 80 interceptors are projected to be operational. Rapid development of nuclear-armed missile capability by countries considered to be threats could hasten development of the NMD.

Nuclear Weapons
The U.S. currently reports a nuclear force of 7,000 warheads capable of delivery. Russia claims to have 6,000 but U.S. intelligence suggests the actual number is far lower. Under the 1993 START-II treaty, both countries are to reduce their nuclear force to no more than 3500 warheads. The U.S. is currently assisting Russia in eliminating, transporting and storing their excess stockpiles of nuclear weapons at a cost of some $475 million per year. Russian President Putin has committed to having the total Russian nuclear force reduced to no more than 1500 operational warheads. Economic challenges faced by the country have basically halted Russian military development.

Potential Threats
From Chapter 5 of the Defense Department's Annual Report to Congress for 2000: "As potential regional aggressors expand their technological capabilities and modify their doctrine, they will pose more lethal threats to military operations. The proliferation of modern defense technologies means that U.S. forces must maintain a substantial advantage over potential adversaries to ensure quick and decisive victory with minimum casualties. U.S. forces simultaneously must be prepared to operate in the face of asymmetric threats, such as the use of nuclear, biological, and chemical (NBC) weapons, terrorism, and information warfare."

Countries most often listed by DoD as posing current threats to the U.S. include: Russia, China, North Korea, Iraq, Iran, Syria, Libya, and Cuba.

 

Next page > Future of U.S. Defense > Page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

 

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